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Latest — Jan 21, 2026

From Narratives to Numbers: Measuring Belief with Hivemind

Hivemind is our trend identification and company exposure engine. It measures discussion to discover market relevant trends and scores trend impact, with direction and magnitude, for every company in your universe. All processes and outputs are customizable and point-in-time. Built for institutional quants. Market-moving themes like GenAI, geopolitical conflict, inflation,

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Venezuela Hivemind Trend Generates 5% Excess Return Since Inception

Military escalation with Venezuela / Maduro has been the #4 market relevant Hivemind trend since Sep 25, 2025; surpassed only by GenAI, Trump, and Middle Eastern conflict. Given Maduro's capture on Jan 3, 2026, we wanted to share how our associated Hivemind exposure performed in excess of market and industry for

How Stable Are Thematic Hivemind Exposures?

A common question we are asked is how stable are thematic Hivemind exposures? The answer, of course, depends on how our customizable exposure pipeline is tuned. For this article, we'll restrict the pipeline to annual data inputs only, and analyze changes year over year for an R3 proxy universe. We'll

Hivemind Factors Explain Incremental Out-of-Sample Variance

Table of Contents 1. Why 2025 Has Been Challenging For Quantitative PMs 2. Creating Macro and Subindustry Hivemind Factors 3. How We Measured Out-of-Sample Explained Variance (R²) 4. Results: Hivemind Factors Explain Incremental Out-of-Sample Variance 5. Email Us: [email protected] 💡Hivemind is ForecastOS' solution for distilling insight from unstructured

ForecastOS Hivemind: Measuring Emergent Sources of Risk & Return Since 2020

Table of Contents: 1. ForecastOS Hivemind 2. Emergent Themes; Top Sources of Risk & Return Since 2020 3. Closing Thoughts Now, more than ever, the stock market is driven by emergent themes: * The rise of generative AI * Rapidly evolving inflation environments * Wars, both trade and actual * Rapidly shifting political agendas A

ForecastOS Hivemind: Understand Your Exposures

If you ran a large book through 2025’s volatility, you probably spent more time on the phone than in the market. “Are you down? We’re off 3%.” Most of those calls were really a fishing expedition for: "what exposure did I miss?" and "does everyone have it, or

The Musk Effect: Quantifying Elon’s Impact on Tesla's Stock

How does public sentiment toward Elon Musk affect Tesla’s stock price? At ForecastOS, we built exactly the tool to determine this; enter ForecastOS Hivemind. In this blog post, we use Hivemind to create a time series factor based on changes in aggregate sentiment about whether Elon Musk is a

Generating Tariff Exposures with ForecastOS Hivemind

When a U.S. hedge fund asked us to help with research to dampen volatility from shifting tariff rhetoric in the Trump era, the first road-block was obvious: no comprehensive dataset captured which of the most active ~3,000 U.S. equities were truly exposed to tariffs, let alone gave

AI Analyzes the Internet: Elon Musk’s Genius Rating Tanks. Is Tesla Stock Next?

Is Elon Musk still considered a genius by the public? Not anymore—at least, not according to +70,000 mentions we analyzed using cutting-edge LLMs. Once hailed as a visionary, untouchable in the tech world, Musk’s genius reputation is slipping fast. And it’s not just Elon. In a

Hivemind Trends: April 27 to May 4

Hivemind leverages advanced AI to process content from top podcasts and other media sources, identifying and analyzing tens of thousands of emerging trends. While Hivemind is available to ForecastOS clients only, we’re making weekly research summaries available to all readers for the next several weeks. Download the latest weekly

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The ForecastOS Blog

Updates from the ForecastOS.com team; we make financial forecasting simple whether you’re an engineer, data scientist, or non-technical executive

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