Venezuela Hivemind Trend Generates 5% Excess Return Since Inception
Military escalation with Venezuela / Maduro has been the #4 market relevant Hivemind trend since Sep 25, 2025; surpassed only by GenAI, Trump, and Middle Eastern conflict.
Given Maduro's capture on Jan 3, 2026, we wanted to share how our associated Hivemind exposure performed in excess of market and industry for US-listed stocks:
- Jan 5 (post-capture) vs Jan 2 (pre-capture): +1.2%
- Jan 6 vs Jan 5: +0.3%
- Jan 6 vs Sep 25 (since becoming a top Hivemind trend): +5.2%
Exposure return evolution (market and industry regressed out):
Trend popularity evolution:
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Note: returns are for "US Threatens Military Action Against Venezuela" exposure of 1. Exposure of 1 represents moderate positive exposure as determined by Hivemind on a scale of -2 to +2. Returns are open to open and equal (not market cap) weighted. Exposure return has market and industry returns regressed out.
To learn more about Hivemind, or to schedule a demo, email us at hi@ forecastos.com
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